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Dec 26, 2012
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it will add to what is already shaping up as a large production deficit. it's interesting, because in the middle of the year, they were saying 2013 we were going to have a big production surplus. doesn't look like it's going to go that way. however, it would be a help. this is not another gold or silver from the standpoint of causing a super explosion, in my opinion. >> what about oil, gas, the other liquids? >> i don't like natural gas. natural gas has kind of been a favorite because its long term prospects are excellent. if you ask me two, three, five years from now, i would be very bullish. right now we have record supplies. weather doesn't look that great. at least for the first part of the year, i don't particularly like it. now, crude oil over supplied market, more than abundant supply but i'm bullish. there's too much going on geopolitically. if we do have even this modest improvement in global demand for industrial commodities we talked about in copper, we will see that translate. i would not be short crude. i would be looking to buy weakness in cr
it will add to what is already shaping up as a large production deficit. it's interesting, because in the middle of the year, they were saying 2013 we were going to have a big production surplus. doesn't look like it's going to go that way. however, it would be a help. this is not another gold or silver from the standpoint of causing a super explosion, in my opinion. >> what about oil, gas, the other liquids? >> i don't like natural gas. natural gas has kind of been a favorite...
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Dec 29, 2012
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this is not a deficit reduction deal that will stabilize the debt to gdp ratio and that has to be -- that has to be one of the goals of a broader deal that now we're probably going to be looking for on the other side of the cliff. >> yeah. i don't know. it doesn't seem to be any part of the president's goal. jared, good to see you always. jimmy, you, too. we'll get you guys back in just a few minutes. we'll get you to the roundtable if you haven't had enough yet. what will it mean for banks? new analysis shows that the expiration ever tax cuts will improve bank savings in 2013, by, listen to this, 54%. in other words, people will need to pull their cash savings out to pay for higher taxes. here now is dan geller, executive vice president of market rates insight. dan, good to have you here. walk me through this math. you're saying the average american is going to put 54% less into savings this year because if we go over the fiscal cliff? explain. >> yeah. let's go back, michelle because the amount of taxation on an average household is effort mated at $2600, and right now the average
this is not a deficit reduction deal that will stabilize the debt to gdp ratio and that has to be -- that has to be one of the goals of a broader deal that now we're probably going to be looking for on the other side of the cliff. >> yeah. i don't know. it doesn't seem to be any part of the president's goal. jared, good to see you always. jimmy, you, too. we'll get you guys back in just a few minutes. we'll get you to the roundtable if you haven't had enough yet. what will it mean for...
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Dec 27, 2012
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the market will turn to a deficit in 2013 on increasing demand in the auto industry where palladium is used in exhaust systems for cars. combined with decreasing global supply, especially in south africa and russia, which control a number of the world's palladium mines, a rally that began in earnest in 2012 will go into overdrive in the new year. >>> all right. so then how should you play commodities next year? let us bring in rbc's george gero with his take on gold, silver and copper, and andy lit li lithbm. silver kicked butt. will it do so next year? >> i think so. i'm wearing my silver bullish cuff links if you notice that. i think this is the year for silver. silver is a bridge between investment demand and industrial demand and this year i think we're going to have both. >> how high do you see silver going, george? give us a number. >> i can't give you a specific number, but i'll give you a range of somewhere between oh, 40 to $45. >> okay. and that's your number one pick for next year, george. andy, you're over in the energy patch. what do you see for crude, gnna gas and for wha
the market will turn to a deficit in 2013 on increasing demand in the auto industry where palladium is used in exhaust systems for cars. combined with decreasing global supply, especially in south africa and russia, which control a number of the world's palladium mines, a rally that began in earnest in 2012 will go into overdrive in the new year. >>> all right. so then how should you play commodities next year? let us bring in rbc's george gero with his take on gold, silver and copper,...
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Dec 28, 2012
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if you don't get a deal obviously you have a massive decline in the deficit for doing nothing. i do think it works right now but i don't see a lot of upside. it is a place to hide. >> good stuff as always. see you on the other side of the new year. wish you the best. >> thank you. >> mike santelli yahoo finance. let me pose the question as i did before in this segment this way. how much is a deal worth to the stock market? >> i think a deal is worth probably 500 points in the stock market if for no other reason than the fact if you're talking about certainty right now we're under this cloud. we have no certainty whatsoever. so for that reason i think stocks like apple, for instance, one of those we've been talking about for a month. why are they selling off apple? fundamentally as the story changed? absolutely not. a hundred and some odd dollars lower than it was. >> i think a deal gets us to 4% to 5% we've given back, gets the s&p back up to its high of 1475. >> i think it's also what it checks on the down side. we're a consumer driven economy. you can see the consumer confide
if you don't get a deal obviously you have a massive decline in the deficit for doing nothing. i do think it works right now but i don't see a lot of upside. it is a place to hide. >> good stuff as always. see you on the other side of the new year. wish you the best. >> thank you. >> mike santelli yahoo finance. let me pose the question as i did before in this segment this way. how much is a deal worth to the stock market? >> i think a deal is worth probably 500 points...
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amazon is fighting many deficit fronts, fighting google, netflix, fighting apple. when eventually everything comes home to roost, amazon will have their rollover period. when it gets down to the 218 range, we welcome take some off but i think it will go over and crack the $200 level. >> you wont to go an that one? >> no. i think it could have trouble going forward and perhaps that outage on christmas eve on netflix showed the kink in the armor on their web services. >>> wrapping to the highest level in 21 months, the yen hits mult multilevel lows versus the u.s. dollar. let's bring in kathy. great to have you. nice to see you. >> great to be on. >> certainly is a popular trade these days. is it too crowded and likely tie soon? >> there's your question. well, basically the yen trade is the trade of the year that everyone was calling for in 2013. we've already seen a huge move. so i think that, you know, there's a lot of people who have ran into the trade over the past month. i think that, you know, while there's still fundamental reasons for the dollar yen to move h
amazon is fighting many deficit fronts, fighting google, netflix, fighting apple. when eventually everything comes home to roost, amazon will have their rollover period. when it gets down to the 218 range, we welcome take some off but i think it will go over and crack the $200 level. >> you wont to go an that one? >> no. i think it could have trouble going forward and perhaps that outage on christmas eve on netflix showed the kink in the armor on their web services. >>>...
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Dec 23, 2012
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beaten with a stake in order to get something substantial accomplished in terms of long-term budget deficit reduction. lou: i can tell you, your metaphor, it pro the is welcomed that nearly every year or in the country right now because the idea of being these politicians with something right now is compelling. i mean, this is really getting stupid. >> it's like spare the market, spoil the policymakers. lou: as we look at these numbers that are coming in, you were watching, as we have talked for some time. the bernanke bubble is rising. now, it's getting rater potent and driving this market. are we now seeing that shift, we are talking about over four and a half billion shares today, above the average all week. it looks like we're starting to see a real turn to equities. are we? >> that could be the case. if you believe money market rates will stay close to 0% until the middle of 2015 and ten year treasurys will climb above 2% anytime soon. it makes a great deal of sense. >> i agree. it is going to happen, and he has his paddle to the metal. he is n a point change. lou: he being ben bernank
beaten with a stake in order to get something substantial accomplished in terms of long-term budget deficit reduction. lou: i can tell you, your metaphor, it pro the is welcomed that nearly every year or in the country right now because the idea of being these politicians with something right now is compelling. i mean, this is really getting stupid. >> it's like spare the market, spoil the policymakers. lou: as we look at these numbers that are coming in, you were watching, as we have...
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having said that, it has become part of our deficit negotiation. i'm troubled by the notion that we're somehow going to give a tax break to some 6,000 very fortunate americans and incur a new expense for our federal government of some $130 billion or $140 billion in the process. what are we thinking? at a time whaoef to try to -- we have to try to bring together the resources to reduce our deficit, why would we want to give a new bonus break for the wealthiest people in this country when it comes to the estate tax. at that to me would be a step backwards. i hope we are not forced into any agreement that includes it, although i stand here knowing full well that if there is an ultimate compromise there will be parts of it i find disgusting and reprehensible which i may have to swallow in the name of following a compromise to avoid the fiscal cliff. that is the nature of a compromise. i hope that one isn't included but it may be. we have to do things important for this economy and one of the most important is to make sure we extend unemployment benefi
having said that, it has become part of our deficit negotiation. i'm troubled by the notion that we're somehow going to give a tax break to some 6,000 very fortunate americans and incur a new expense for our federal government of some $130 billion or $140 billion in the process. what are we thinking? at a time whaoef to try to -- we have to try to bring together the resources to reduce our deficit, why would we want to give a new bonus break for the wealthiest people in this country when it...
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spending, you know, let's get the deficit down, in other words, the gop has opportunities. it is the same old democratic party, katie, i don't see why the gop can't come back with the pro growth fiscally responsible message. >> i hate to break it to you, but republicans have been doing that for two years now. paul ryan has been beating the drum of entitlement reform for a long time. he's been demonized, and they've been running ads of him throwing grandma off the cliff. >> when's ryan making his comeback? when does marco rubio make his comeback? when do all of these fine governors make their comeback? i mean the republicans have a pretty deep bench. >> part of the calculation that i think conservatives and republicans are missing is that in this conversation, when we talk about a balanced approach, most -- a majority of middle class people, which is why 76% of americans are for taxing the rich, most americans have seen their defined benefits go down, their pensions decrease. so from their perspective and their wages have been stagnant at the same time -- hold on. >> whose f
spending, you know, let's get the deficit down, in other words, the gop has opportunities. it is the same old democratic party, katie, i don't see why the gop can't come back with the pro growth fiscally responsible message. >> i hate to break it to you, but republicans have been doing that for two years now. paul ryan has been beating the drum of entitlement reform for a long time. he's been demonized, and they've been running ads of him throwing grandma off the cliff. >> when's...
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deficit $536 billion. $536 million. back then social security made up 6.5%. 6.5%. of the federal budget. 6.5%. the decayed and medicare didn't exist back then. let's compare that to what we are doing now. a 20% of the budget on social security, and then we throw a 21% more of the federal budget for medicare, medicaid, and another 13% for other social programs, food stamps. so that comes up to a whopping 54% of the budget. 54%. forgot to mention this. it is kind of important, isn't it? back than median family income was about $38,000. $38,000. today it is $62,000. we will pretend that looks like a two and that looks like a six. we haven't done too well, more than half a century in raising a the median income ine this country and that is something he is right about, we do have to fix that. imagine this, it's got a nobel prize. the unions made up 24% read today that number a rather convenient because a reduction by half of 12% right now. it tells which were the country is moving in this nostalgia for a 91% tax rate. i want
deficit $536 billion. $536 million. back then social security made up 6.5%. 6.5%. of the federal budget. 6.5%. the decayed and medicare didn't exist back then. let's compare that to what we are doing now. a 20% of the budget on social security, and then we throw a 21% more of the federal budget for medicare, medicaid, and another 13% for other social programs, food stamps. so that comes up to a whopping 54% of the budget. 54%. forgot to mention this. it is kind of important, isn't it? back than...
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i have a slightly deficit take. i certainly agree, banks have been on fire 40% versus s&p up the last six months. they've been terrific stocks recently. a lot of optimism gets put into these names and i see a lot of headwinds to tensipotentia pote it. >> being? >> regulatory pressure high. and keeping interest margins under pressure. loan demand is still pretty weak. cni, commercial and industrial loan demand is starting to weaken. you have political pressure and uncertainty, which remains high. there's a lot of problems here. one in particular, in regulation, i think is underappreciated here. you referenced it in your spot. the coming central clearing of derivatives mark, i think is a big problem. >> when i say basel-free, people's eyes glaze over, where are you regarding basel-free and what it means to profits? >> a fair question and huge unknown. we're starting to see some firms begin to reshape their business, particularly on the market side, where a lot of pressure is. there's a busy called fix income and commo
i have a slightly deficit take. i certainly agree, banks have been on fire 40% versus s&p up the last six months. they've been terrific stocks recently. a lot of optimism gets put into these names and i see a lot of headwinds to tensipotentia pote it. >> being? >> regulatory pressure high. and keeping interest margins under pressure. loan demand is still pretty weak. cni, commercial and industrial loan demand is starting to weaken. you have political pressure and uncertainty,...
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too much deficit reduction, too quickly, and we could push the economy into a recession. that's just dumb. >> it is very dumb. now, you've been in many, many, many of these negotiations? you've been in the backrooms of a lot of the ongoing negotiations, now, do you think they have any chance of getting a deal before the first of the year? >> i'm always hopeful, but i'm less hopeful as every day passes. the problem is the rhetoric that's flying back and forth between republicans and democrats sounds like we're still having an election that it never was over. i think that now -- now that we've had an election, and the american public has spoken, whatever they meant, it's time for the politicians to get together, come together as starbucks is saying, and get something done. nobody's going to get everything they want. but it's so much more important to solve the problem than for one side or the other to get what they want or blame the other. the atmosphere is just wrong. >> when you hear the argument for going over the cliff. when it's been told to me by both democrats and re
too much deficit reduction, too quickly, and we could push the economy into a recession. that's just dumb. >> it is very dumb. now, you've been in many, many, many of these negotiations? you've been in the backrooms of a lot of the ongoing negotiations, now, do you think they have any chance of getting a deal before the first of the year? >> i'm always hopeful, but i'm less hopeful as every day passes. the problem is the rhetoric that's flying back and forth between republicans and...
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president obama's plan cuts the deficit, it does not. it restrict future increases in the deficit. it is in the $24 trillion debt in 2015 will only be $20 trillion. [talking over each other] stuart: address the question. [talking over each other] >> let me answer you. we have a fundamental disagreement whether in a situation like this when the economy is of whether the government needs to cut spending. i do not believe it does. you believe it does. we have a fundamental difference how to proceed forward. stuart: what we need more than anything else is to stimulate the private sector and you don't do that with more spending and we need to control long-term entitlement spending. we have to reform entitlement programs. that would fix things. stuart: i agree with you on a ladder but not the former. stuart: where's the president's reform program? >> that proposed -- absence something the democrats -- [talking over each other] >> you want to get rid of medicare and medicaid? stuart: that is always what you say. that is not true. why did you raise the eligibility age 65 to 67? raise the r
president obama's plan cuts the deficit, it does not. it restrict future increases in the deficit. it is in the $24 trillion debt in 2015 will only be $20 trillion. [talking over each other] stuart: address the question. [talking over each other] >> let me answer you. we have a fundamental disagreement whether in a situation like this when the economy is of whether the government needs to cut spending. i do not believe it does. you believe it does. we have a fundamental difference how to...
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we have had 1.422, 1.29 and on the way to another trillion dollars deficit for these years. what the president is proposing is not pragmatic whatsoever and really is a reflection of him i suppose living in a fantasy world. >> what do you think the deal that speaker boehner offered the president? >> well, i was against the plan b because i don't see this as being a tax revenue increase issue. most important is spending. we could georgia back -- go back to the simpson bowles commission. the most important thing, we have to deal with spending. we live in an america where the federal government now is spending 25% of our gross domestic product. when you study the obama budget that would increase to 32%. that's where the problem has to i am emanate from. the spending side of our budget is 62% of what we spend money on. it's not just about defense or discretionary. >> is there any indication the president's deal, that he may come back with, will address spending? i haven't heard substantial spending cuts out of any deals on the left. >> absolutely you are not hearing that whatsoev
we have had 1.422, 1.29 and on the way to another trillion dollars deficit for these years. what the president is proposing is not pragmatic whatsoever and really is a reflection of him i suppose living in a fantasy world. >> what do you think the deal that speaker boehner offered the president? >> well, i was against the plan b because i don't see this as being a tax revenue increase issue. most important is spending. we could georgia back -- go back to the simpson bowles...
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so it adds to the deficit and only is willing to raise taxes on millionaires and above and that is getting through the senate. so what you're saying the reverse is true when you look at the house. boehner can pass the senate bill tomorrow as harry reid said today, but he doesn't want to do it with democrats and he wants a majority of the majority. is there anything wrong? wouldn't you like a bipartisan coming together here and everybody's in this? >> it would not be at all, and any of the plans at all, joy. and they campaign on three to one spending on we haven't seen anything like that come out of the senate. and they will not do anything to come out of the senate. >> john boehner can't get his own caulk us to take a vote on his idea to only raise the tax rates. he can't even get his own caucus to do that and he's been humiliated over and over by his own caulk us and he can solve it tomorrow. >> joy ann, harry reid hasn't passed a budget in years. >> he's passed a solution to this crisis. we're talking about the fiscal cliff. >> it hasn't got ensigned into law. there's no success yet ther
so it adds to the deficit and only is willing to raise taxes on millionaires and above and that is getting through the senate. so what you're saying the reverse is true when you look at the house. boehner can pass the senate bill tomorrow as harry reid said today, but he doesn't want to do it with democrats and he wants a majority of the majority. is there anything wrong? wouldn't you like a bipartisan coming together here and everybody's in this? >> it would not be at all, and any of the...
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the budget deficit the fiscal crisis to the extent that it exists although granted a lot of corporations are sitting on their capital they're not investing in r. and b. so one necessity for supporting manufacturing is to have things like democratic firms and cooperatives and alternative banks that we move our money and so we need a synergy between people moving their money into these production platforms to get the high paid jobs that we need all right jonathan feldman we are out of time thanks so much for being on the kaiser report. thank you for having me it was a pleasure all right now going to do it for this edition of the kaiser report with me max kaiser and stacey however my guest jonathan feldman if you had to send me an e-mail please do so at kaiser reported r t t v dot are you like some ask them but you know. he is easy. it's easy. to meet. folks. you know sometimes you see a story and it seems so for langley you think you understand it and then you glimpse something else you hear or see some other part of it and realized everything you thought you knew you don't know i'm tom ha
the budget deficit the fiscal crisis to the extent that it exists although granted a lot of corporations are sitting on their capital they're not investing in r. and b. so one necessity for supporting manufacturing is to have things like democratic firms and cooperatives and alternative banks that we move our money and so we need a synergy between people moving their money into these production platforms to get the high paid jobs that we need all right jonathan feldman we are out of time thanks...
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that's an 8% budget deficit to gdp. we're in the same realm as spain. we're not -- we do not have good optics here. i think it's going to get worse before it gets better. >> craig, you know, i understand that we need a real good kick in the pants, in the fiscal pants if you like, right, to get this house in order. at the same time, if we go over that cliff, this is real money to real people. this is money being taken out of people's paychecks. this is some people losing their unemployment benefits. all kinds of things could happen. how bad could it be? >> well, it certainly could be bad. just as an example of that, if you look at the payroll tax cut alo alone, that doesn't seem to be on the board. that could be an increase in the gasoline tax of $1.25 a gallon. there will be effects, but that has to happen at some point. we've been living on sugar high for too long now. at some point we have to get back to fiscal discipline. there's going to be some pain involved. >> craig, politicians don't get re-elected by not giving out candy. they get elected by gi
that's an 8% budget deficit to gdp. we're in the same realm as spain. we're not -- we do not have good optics here. i think it's going to get worse before it gets better. >> craig, you know, i understand that we need a real good kick in the pants, in the fiscal pants if you like, right, to get this house in order. at the same time, if we go over that cliff, this is real money to real people. this is money being taken out of people's paychecks. this is some people losing their unemployment...
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anyone who travels around this country knows we have a public goods deficit. it's something we'd love to see more in helping to boost the underlying productivity of the economy. and implementation. this doesn't get enough discussion. the affordable care act and dodd-frank first term agenda items are not yet implemented and there's going to be a lot of that in term two. other than that i see probably tax and entitlement reform. and don't forget guns. guns are -- >> tax and entitlement reform. when does that happen. how does it happen? we're assuming a baby deal, so i assume that that doesn't happen in that context. are you talking about a grand bargain? >> right. i am. and i'm saying that these guys actually got pretty far towards some kind of a bargain that involved cutting some entitlement growth, restructuring the tax code in ways that i think are pretty good. >> when would this happen in your perfect world? >> i think this would start to happen, not too long after we resolve the cliff. so, probably late february, march it would begin. but it's going to take
anyone who travels around this country knows we have a public goods deficit. it's something we'd love to see more in helping to boost the underlying productivity of the economy. and implementation. this doesn't get enough discussion. the affordable care act and dodd-frank first term agenda items are not yet implemented and there's going to be a lot of that in term two. other than that i see probably tax and entitlement reform. and don't forget guns. guns are -- >> tax and entitlement...
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i think the words "come together" means something deficit to all of us. in the spirit of the holidays, in an effort to bring all our political leaders, i think "come together" means a lot. >> now, this come together message will go not only on coffee cups in the area but across old and new media. when we sat down and talked to customers here, it really really resonates with what customers want to see done. >> they do need to come together and i think they need to get this settled before we do go off the fiscal cliff because i think a lot of people are really stressed out. >>> think that message "come together" is exactly what needs to happen. i'm frustrated by six, 10 people who think they can hold out to get their last little pork or thing into the bill, that seems unfortunate. >> of course, in the age of social media, in particular, no message of any kind goes untweeted. we did hear from house speaker john boehner's spokesman, brendan buck, who tweeted quote my capitol hill location did not have an inspirational message. i feel so lost. and so it goes.
i think the words "come together" means something deficit to all of us. in the spirit of the holidays, in an effort to bring all our political leaders, i think "come together" means a lot. >> now, this come together message will go not only on coffee cups in the area but across old and new media. when we sat down and talked to customers here, it really really resonates with what customers want to see done. >> they do need to come together and i think they need to...
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i'm shaving a little bit off of this year's deficit. we're going to have fiscal problems for as far as the eye can see, an here's where an investor, a smart investor is going to want to diversify, especially into things like tangible assets like gold. >> you're going to make the case for gold here, which, you know, has had a heck of a run for the last decade or so, but it has started to show signs of wear and tear. what would propel gold from here necessarily? >> well, two things that i would have your viewers take a look at. the first is the reason why gold has kind of flattened out at about 1650 or so is because a huge amount of supply has come on the market. there's a lot of profit-takers who are worried about increased taxes next year. as you said, they have made a lot of money on gold, so they are selling it right now and locking in those profits. the other thing to look at that very few investors have caught on to but when i was at the mint we studied this, gold demand and gold prices correlate very well with the national debt cei
i'm shaving a little bit off of this year's deficit. we're going to have fiscal problems for as far as the eye can see, an here's where an investor, a smart investor is going to want to diversify, especially into things like tangible assets like gold. >> you're going to make the case for gold here, which, you know, has had a heck of a run for the last decade or so, but it has started to show signs of wear and tear. what would propel gold from here necessarily? >> well, two things...
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the budget deficit the fiscal crisis to the extent that it exists although granted a lot of corporations are sitting on their capital they're not investing in r. and b. so one necessity for supporting manufacturing is to have things like democratic firms and cooperatives and alternative banks that we move our money and so we need the synergy between people moving their money into these production platforms to get the high paid jobs that we need all right jonathan feldman we are out of time thanks so much for being on the kaiser report. thank you for having me it was a pleasure all right now going to do it for this edition of the kaiser report with me max kaiser and stacy herbert or thought my guest jonathan feldman if you had to send me an e-mail please do so at kaiser reported r t t v dot ru the next time i ask a bio. i live i. could speak. with. a long. run i mean very little. choose your language. surely we can we know if you're going to. choose the consensus to. choose the opinions that you figure a couple. choose to stories get him to. choose access to your office. divine power in a
the budget deficit the fiscal crisis to the extent that it exists although granted a lot of corporations are sitting on their capital they're not investing in r. and b. so one necessity for supporting manufacturing is to have things like democratic firms and cooperatives and alternative banks that we move our money and so we need the synergy between people moving their money into these production platforms to get the high paid jobs that we need all right jonathan feldman we are out of time...
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the market will turn to a deficit on 2013 in the increasing demand in the auto industry where palladium is used in systems for cars. combined with the global system supply. a rally that began in earnest at the end of 2012 will go into overdrive in the new year. . >> joining us now is dan dickert. you just said palladium. that's a big pick for you? >> i was surprised that sharon spoke about palladium. it was my sleeper bet for 2013. >> what's going on with palladium? >> it's a real industrial metal. it's in short supply. it's undertraded, underowned and one of those industrial metals. it's one of those sleeper metal plays that you can make. used in vehicles? >> in the cat converters. that's the main use for them. there's a real shortage that's been going on in palladium. >> look into the crystal ball. give us an oil price if you came back here a year from today. >> this is the toughest one ever. this is the third year i've conpredictions for you twice. it's not so bad. >> you said it would fluctuate? >> there was one guy who said it would rachet between $130 and $160. i said you have to
the market will turn to a deficit on 2013 in the increasing demand in the auto industry where palladium is used in systems for cars. combined with the global system supply. a rally that began in earnest at the end of 2012 will go into overdrive in the new year. . >> joining us now is dan dickert. you just said palladium. that's a big pick for you? >> i was surprised that sharon spoke about palladium. it was my sleeper bet for 2013. >> what's going on with palladium? >>...
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Dec 30, 2012
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part of that is deficit reduction. part of it is also making sure that we're investing, for example, in rebuilding our infrastructure, which is broken. and, you know, if we are putting people back to work, rebuilding roads, bridges, schools, in part paying for it by some of these broader long-term deficit reduction measures that need to take place, that will grow the economy at the same time as we're also setting our path for long-term fiscal stability. number three. you know, we've got a huge opportunity around energy. we are producing more energy, and america can become an energy exporter. how do we do that in a way that also deals with the environmental challenges we have at the same time? so that's going to be a third thing. but the most immediate thing i've got to do starting on january 1, if congress doesn't act before the end of the year, is to make sure that taxes are not going up on middle class families. because it is going to be very hard for the economy to sustain its current growth trends if suddenly we ha
part of that is deficit reduction. part of it is also making sure that we're investing, for example, in rebuilding our infrastructure, which is broken. and, you know, if we are putting people back to work, rebuilding roads, bridges, schools, in part paying for it by some of these broader long-term deficit reduction measures that need to take place, that will grow the economy at the same time as we're also setting our path for long-term fiscal stability. number three. you know, we've got a huge...
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Dec 28, 2012
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the problem with the fiscal cliff is it would put in place deficit reduction, but it would put in deficit reduction too much, too quickly, and with the wrong parts of the budget. so it would let all of the tax cuts expire, it would let many things like the alternative minimum tax hit the middle class. it would have a big, broad-based sequester that goes into place, not gradually, like we would want, to help not derail an economic recovery, but abruptly, and it deals with the wrong parts of the budget. so what you want to do is replace this big amount deficit reduction, all hitting just at the time when the economic recovery is starting to take hold, with a more thoughtful plan that's phased in gradually. so it doesn't do too much deficit reduction up-front, but it puts in the necessary changes to health care cost, retirement, tax reform, all over time and puts us on a sustainable path to a better place. >> let me ask you a central question. is america different from europe? can america continue to run huge budget deficits, because the feds can buy treasuries and prop up the market, and be
the problem with the fiscal cliff is it would put in place deficit reduction, but it would put in deficit reduction too much, too quickly, and with the wrong parts of the budget. so it would let all of the tax cuts expire, it would let many things like the alternative minimum tax hit the middle class. it would have a big, broad-based sequester that goes into place, not gradually, like we would want, to help not derail an economic recovery, but abruptly, and it deals with the wrong parts of the...
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Dec 27, 2012
12/12
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we have got social security, record number of people on disability, record deficit for social security, $47 billion a year, almost $1 billion a week flowing out more than coming in and young people, you voted for no change to entitlement, keep on paying for old people. what is going on? >> that is right. jasey told us to vote for barack obama. the irony is many young people look at social security and may know it is not going to be around for them in the future. they are not planning their lives and certainly not their retirement banking on social security solvency. the problem is you have the republican party who rrfuses to address letting younger workers invest their own money into their own retirement programs because they view it as a death knell of the voting booth. there is that problem. you are absolutely right. i don't view social security being around for me. how idiotic government bureaucrats are today, the social security administration claims theyyare running not a deficit of $47 billion that actually running a surplus of $65 billion because of all the ious from the treasur
we have got social security, record number of people on disability, record deficit for social security, $47 billion a year, almost $1 billion a week flowing out more than coming in and young people, you voted for no change to entitlement, keep on paying for old people. what is going on? >> that is right. jasey told us to vote for barack obama. the irony is many young people look at social security and may know it is not going to be around for them in the future. they are not planning...
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Dec 30, 2012
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biggest sticking points is should new leff new from tax increases be used to pay down the country's deficit or used to cover the cost of preventing sweeping government spending cuts? no ordinary sunday. arriving at the capitol, congressional leaders' every move and every word under scrutiny, as the country waits, weighing in from the white house, the president, who appeared on "meet the press," pushed republicans to give on taxes. >> i think it's been very hard for speaker boehner and republican leader mcconnell to accept the fact that taxes on the wealthiest americans should go up a little bit as part of an overall deficit reduction package. >> reporter: inside closed door negotiations this weekend, aipds say there have been "constructive move." on key issues like taxes, including compromise on where to set higher rates for wealthier americans and avoiding a jump in inheritance taxes. but this afternoon, republican leader mitch mcconnell complained that democrats had failed to deliver a promised counteroffer. so mcconnell called for help, phoning vice president biden who came to the white
biggest sticking points is should new leff new from tax increases be used to pay down the country's deficit or used to cover the cost of preventing sweeping government spending cuts? no ordinary sunday. arriving at the capitol, congressional leaders' every move and every word under scrutiny, as the country waits, weighing in from the white house, the president, who appeared on "meet the press," pushed republicans to give on taxes. >> i think it's been very hard for speaker...
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Dec 24, 2012
12/12
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. >> there's a lot of people that say what we need to do, we can run a 2% deficit. we need to get back to "x" amount of revenue, and "y" amount of government spending. and most people say somewhere between like 18 revenue, 20 spending, maybe 19 revenue, 21 pending. given what the democrats and the white house are offering on the spending cuts, do you feel that maybe they're thinking they want to keep it at 23, 22, 24? we're not seeing anything that gets us anywhere near 20 or 21 in terms of the offers we're seeing from them. are we? >> no. no. i mean, this would be like, you know, in 1969, we landed the first man on the moon. but it would have never happened if -- the only thing they worried about was exactly how the, you know, the lunar module was going to land, but not how they were going to leave the atmosphere of the earth. you can't worry about the little details on these tax issues. as much as the winners of the election want to punish the rich, because i can't think of any other reason that we dwell so much on that side of it, the rest of it, what did i read?
. >> there's a lot of people that say what we need to do, we can run a 2% deficit. we need to get back to "x" amount of revenue, and "y" amount of government spending. and most people say somewhere between like 18 revenue, 20 spending, maybe 19 revenue, 21 pending. given what the democrats and the white house are offering on the spending cuts, do you feel that maybe they're thinking they want to keep it at 23, 22, 24? we're not seeing anything that gets us anywhere...
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had it been part of the year is that in two thousand and eight and i ask of course because our budget deficit is still knowledge and then the average here is a country that is i think we've been part of the euro zone we would have been in the worst position because we didn't wouldn't have our own currency and we wouldn't have our own central bank and also you know i have to say is the person that had to take a decision as to whether or we should stop the banking system collapse i could take that decision consulting with the prime minister and we did it overnight if we did bob you reserve my guess is going on i would still be asking the question and discussing it no i don't i i just despair of the score off it decision making in the euro zone or inability in greece for example after two years to come to something that looks like it's credible it's going to stick and we have had our in currency for and we've seen a thirty percent depreciation in standing over. reason is why then have we been unable to export our way out of trouble i think is partly because of the depressed state of the world ec
had it been part of the year is that in two thousand and eight and i ask of course because our budget deficit is still knowledge and then the average here is a country that is i think we've been part of the euro zone we would have been in the worst position because we didn't wouldn't have our own currency and we wouldn't have our own central bank and also you know i have to say is the person that had to take a decision as to whether or we should stop the banking system collapse i could take...
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Dec 22, 2012
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my hope is they will do the right thing and that we will achieve a bipartisan consensus on deficit reduction and that trajectory of defense spending in the future. otherwise, we will weaken in this nation in the minds of our allies, partners, and our potential adversaries. and undermine the work and sacrifice is that our troops are making every single day. it is easy to get cynical and frustrated. after 40 years, i know my level of cynicism and frustration but my confidence and my hope for the future is restored every time i have the opportunity to visit with our troops on the front lines as i did last week. in them i see the spirit of public service that has kept this country strong for more than two centuries, which has helped us to overcome every period of crisis and diversity in our history. that spirit of public service is also evidence that this monument to democracy, the national press club, journalists who commit themselves to pursuing the truth and telling the everyday stories of american people, our public servants in their own right. my last trip, i was honored to be accompanied b
my hope is they will do the right thing and that we will achieve a bipartisan consensus on deficit reduction and that trajectory of defense spending in the future. otherwise, we will weaken in this nation in the minds of our allies, partners, and our potential adversaries. and undermine the work and sacrifice is that our troops are making every single day. it is easy to get cynical and frustrated. after 40 years, i know my level of cynicism and frustration but my confidence and my hope for the...
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Dec 30, 2012
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reduce the deficit by 10 or 12%. so it's a question at this point of what sort of hollow, empty meaningless symbolic gesture daus washington want to make and how many group of people do they want on the altar to make that gesture. >> what's so interesting here is that we're talking about the republicans fighting to protect 1.2% of the american public from a tax increase. 98.2% of taxpayers are below the $250,000 threshold so it's kind of amazing in congress, particularly when we're talking about the house, that he's made a pledge around tacks that its willing to allow 98.2% of americans to pay more by going over -- around this curve, it's more of a curve than a cliff. but i think the issue of the deficit is important. i don't think it's a symbolic gesture. one of the things that we've seen is $200 million we've started carving off the deficit. and the question is the time frame of deficit reduction, right? it's how fast, over what time trajectory do we see health? we've been making improvements over the past three ye
reduce the deficit by 10 or 12%. so it's a question at this point of what sort of hollow, empty meaningless symbolic gesture daus washington want to make and how many group of people do they want on the altar to make that gesture. >> what's so interesting here is that we're talking about the republicans fighting to protect 1.2% of the american public from a tax increase. 98.2% of taxpayers are below the $250,000 threshold so it's kind of amazing in congress, particularly when we're...
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Dec 28, 2012
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the country managed to avoid bailout so far, but will not meet its deficit target for the full year. do you think spain should be given more time? >> well, first of all, i think that, again, spain is going in the right direction. when you look at the current account, the deficit, you see that it had been diminished massively since the peak that they had in 2008, 2009. and, you know, as a very short summing up, it's been divided by more than five, though it's very, very encouraging. on the other hand, you have unit labor costs which have been diminishing quite a lot and the exports of spain are very dynamic today. so it also demonstrates that hard work is being done. it's difficult. it's tough, but going in the right direction. i trust that the global observers are observing progressively and the adjustment is proceed. in spain and in all the countries that are under adjustment. >> now, lonmin's ceo ian farmer is stepping down while being treated for a serious illness after being first admitted to hospital back in august. the south african miner says it's already appointed an executiv
the country managed to avoid bailout so far, but will not meet its deficit target for the full year. do you think spain should be given more time? >> well, first of all, i think that, again, spain is going in the right direction. when you look at the current account, the deficit, you see that it had been diminished massively since the peak that they had in 2008, 2009. and, you know, as a very short summing up, it's been divided by more than five, though it's very, very encouraging. on the...
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had it been part of the year is that in two thousand and eight and i ask of course because our budget deficit is still larger than the average euro zone countries is i think we've been part of the euro zone we would have been a worse position because we didn't wouldn't have our own currency and we wouldn't have our own central bank and also you know i. probably should have stopped. have we been unable to export our way out of trouble i think is partly because of the depressed state of the world economy you know we sell a lot to america and america's growing but at a pretty low rate look at the euro zone where half of what we produce goes the eurozone is in recession and you know that ok the germans are doing a little bit better than that but it's not surprising you know if you've got this sort of don't term that you don't automatically get the benefit you would expect but you know there's been a lot of discussion in britain by rebalancing the economy you know that's fine but it's very difficult to do it when that economy is in recession what do you make of the current debate about changing ou
had it been part of the year is that in two thousand and eight and i ask of course because our budget deficit is still larger than the average euro zone countries is i think we've been part of the euro zone we would have been a worse position because we didn't wouldn't have our own currency and we wouldn't have our own central bank and also you know i. probably should have stopped. have we been unable to export our way out of trouble i think is partly because of the depressed state of the world...
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Dec 28, 2012
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deficit and looming debt that we have been concerned about from the beginning that it would take for republicans to vote for then what the democrats are asking for which is some kind of tax increase on some high income level people and the extension of the unemployment insurance. we all want to do amt relief. we all want to do something that will help in cap gains and evidence. i think there are places where we are together and there are the fringes where we have to negotiate. dagen: are they giving a free pass because they are out there buying treasury debt? eventually, allowing you to not do anything. it is standing and ready and buying. >> i disagreed with what this ad is doing. it is one of those numbers things that we never really know what is really happening. we need to deal with overspending and too much debt in this country. that is where we are having the tension between the two parties. dagen: senator hutchinson, it was great to talk with you. thank you. some good news for you homeowners out there. we have had good news all week. we have home prices going up year over year
deficit and looming debt that we have been concerned about from the beginning that it would take for republicans to vote for then what the democrats are asking for which is some kind of tax increase on some high income level people and the extension of the unemployment insurance. we all want to do amt relief. we all want to do something that will help in cap gains and evidence. i think there are places where we are together and there are the fringes where we have to negotiate. dagen: are they...
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Dec 24, 2012
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we can't run trillion dollar deficits for a year and expect to get away with that long term. so i think there is a trade-off here in terms of some penalty to growth next year. longer term there are benefits though and going into the year i think you just have to have maybe a little cash in the portfolio but be looking to put money to work in companies that are going to survive, good balance sheets and consistent profitability. stocks are cheap relative to bonds so i don't want to get too defensive here. >> you were with us at the top of the hour and made clear you were on hold until you see something about a fiscal cliff resolution of some kind. is there nothing you would buy between now and the end of the year? >> nothing. maybe some inverse etfs, bill, quite honestly. i want to see not just fiscal cliff resolution but i want to see q 1 earnings. i'm sorry. q 4 earnings. last quarter's earnings were not all that exciting. we really saw the european effect take hold in a lot of these companies really laboring and a lot have bounced back. i think again it is this liquidity dri
we can't run trillion dollar deficits for a year and expect to get away with that long term. so i think there is a trade-off here in terms of some penalty to growth next year. longer term there are benefits though and going into the year i think you just have to have maybe a little cash in the portfolio but be looking to put money to work in companies that are going to survive, good balance sheets and consistent profitability. stocks are cheap relative to bonds so i don't want to get too...
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Dec 30, 2012
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separately is how do we bring down our deficit? do we attack social security entitlements, medicare, medicaid and that's this ideological struggle we're seeing between democrats and republicans that will continue in a series of skirmishes probably over the debt ceiling come february and ongoing until they finally have it out and resolve this for the long term. >> i think the white house's view in political terms is that how he handles himself on this sets the terms of engagement for those subsequent fights. again, a few weeks ago, when i was talking to people at the white house about how they were going to strategize this, they said look, this is a re-set moment and we've got to re-set sort of the balance of power from the 2011 talks. >> i think it's worth emphasizing on the numbers you mentioned the public overwhelming supports raises faxes on the wealthy but on the spending cuts they oppose cutting those programs in large numbers. when you get specific about that, don't cut that, don't cut that. >> hands off medicare. >> the pres
separately is how do we bring down our deficit? do we attack social security entitlements, medicare, medicaid and that's this ideological struggle we're seeing between democrats and republicans that will continue in a series of skirmishes probably over the debt ceiling come february and ongoing until they finally have it out and resolve this for the long term. >> i think the white house's view in political terms is that how he handles himself on this sets the terms of engagement for those...
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Dec 28, 2012
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we need cuts and deal with the deficit. you have can't do this in a way to do in a sudden flash. >> juan -- >> juan: hold on. excuse me. do you think republicans have no complicity in passing two wars without funding them? and passing prescription drugs, no funding -- >> andrea: last time i checked a majority of democrats voted if for war. >> juan: republicans voted for this as well is all my point. >> andrea: entitlement, they're not miles apart? >> juan: they're not. >> andrea: what is the plan. >> juan: put on the table change the cpi and change the rate of growth. >> what table? >> eric: slow the rate of growth is not a cut. >> juan: it is. >> eric: it's not. >> juan: even boehner says it's a cut. the left thinks it's a cut. secondly, the president has -- go up to 400 if you want. so what we are talking about is a cut for 99% of americans. they keep tax cuts. you think republicans would celebrate. >> drinking the kool-aid. >> eric: i agree with you that the republicans are no better in this debate. >> juan: oh, well the
we need cuts and deal with the deficit. you have can't do this in a way to do in a sudden flash. >> juan -- >> juan: hold on. excuse me. do you think republicans have no complicity in passing two wars without funding them? and passing prescription drugs, no funding -- >> andrea: last time i checked a majority of democrats voted if for war. >> juan: republicans voted for this as well is all my point. >> andrea: entitlement, they're not miles apart? >> juan:...
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Dec 26, 2012
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anything there could be a peace dividend if we ever got to that where we'd be able to cut the budget deficit a la what happened in the '90s. i don't think you should look at this issue in a way to be able to make money off it, though. it's really not a needle mover. as a matter of fact, it can be negative for a lot of the defense companies as we know. they've been under a cloud because of these cuts. here's one from danny in new york. hi, jim. i've heard you say when considering playing the down side of an equity that you would short the stock rather than buy a put. please elaborate on your reasoning for this. i favor the high risk of a short position. i'm so glad you sent me this because if i've created any misperception that i favor shorting stocks, it is completely out of character with all my books and what i used to do at my hedge fund or before my hedge fund when i used to work for people at goldman sachs or when i was trading for myself. i always do puts, i rarely do shorts because as i write in "confessions of a street addict" i was the victim of a some bad short squeezes that lost m
anything there could be a peace dividend if we ever got to that where we'd be able to cut the budget deficit a la what happened in the '90s. i don't think you should look at this issue in a way to be able to make money off it, though. it's really not a needle mover. as a matter of fact, it can be negative for a lot of the defense companies as we know. they've been under a cloud because of these cuts. here's one from danny in new york. hi, jim. i've heard you say when considering playing the...
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Dec 26, 2012
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. >> catherine, isn't it their deficit in large part deficit? >> of course, but they have political amnesia. ideology is the science of idiots. here's one of these moments where when you live inside the box and refuse to look at empirical evidence, refuse to understand history to show us how economies work, how tax cuts or increases affect populations, then they are going to follow this line of idiocy over their own, i think, political cliff. and the partisanship is going to wreak tremendous havoc on the republican party in the upcoming elections. >> we have limited time. i want to go back to john harwood. is there a time here, john, when we're going to see the markets start to react or are we expecting most traders to wait until after the first to make big decisions? >> i think that's when they reacted. if we go over the cliff, even for a couple of days, you're going to see a reaction. i think at the end of the day you will see action if we go over the cliff for a couple of days, because i don't agree with jonathan that they are immune to publi
. >> catherine, isn't it their deficit in large part deficit? >> of course, but they have political amnesia. ideology is the science of idiots. here's one of these moments where when you live inside the box and refuse to look at empirical evidence, refuse to understand history to show us how economies work, how tax cuts or increases affect populations, then they are going to follow this line of idiocy over their own, i think, political cliff. and the partisanship is going to wreak...
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Dec 27, 2012
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finance our deficits. and this is precisely how it worked. and the trouble was -- and if you want to understand exactly how the capital gains profits were attracted to the united states -- there are some key elements. one was, the commiseration of blue-collar workers in the united states. there were some key elements. one was the proliferation of states. that kept prices low. even with the oil crisis, prices in the united states rose more slowly than they did in japan or europe. so, if you were japanese or german, the profits, where do you invest them? where do you keep them? you keep them with the low inflation rate. that is one reason. one mechanism that helps attract the capital from the rest of the world and close the loop. wall street was another. it has an amazing capacity to create a metaphysical value out of nothing. walmart was another. is promoted the ideology of cheapness, which was calculated -- encapsulated so brilliantly. nobody needs a gallon of pickles. i don't think it fits in a fridge. wh
finance our deficits. and this is precisely how it worked. and the trouble was -- and if you want to understand exactly how the capital gains profits were attracted to the united states -- there are some key elements. one was, the commiseration of blue-collar workers in the united states. there were some key elements. one was the proliferation of states. that kept prices low. even with the oil crisis, prices in the united states rose more slowly than they did in japan or europe. so, if you were...
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thailand three two on aggregate in bangkok the thais went all out to reduce the three want a first leg deficit before it all to cross on but headed home just before the break but that was as much as they could muster and singapore coach raddy ever mode which celebrated his third crown but ornament. on sunday cricket great sachin tendulkar retired from one day internationals after an illustrious twenty three year career the thirty nine year old indian batsman holds the world record for caps runs and centuries and that it will master says he was blessed to win the world cup last year on his six appearance for his country. football that in the famed i actually use academy will hold a training camp for russian kids in the moscow region this summer with the prospect of making this a permanent fixture because i didn't get up off has more. established at the beginning of the twentieth century i exist one of the world's most successful football teams and has become one of the biggest brands in the world the amsterdam side has won thirty one domestic championships and the european cup four times includ
thailand three two on aggregate in bangkok the thais went all out to reduce the three want a first leg deficit before it all to cross on but headed home just before the break but that was as much as they could muster and singapore coach raddy ever mode which celebrated his third crown but ornament. on sunday cricket great sachin tendulkar retired from one day internationals after an illustrious twenty three year career the thirty nine year old indian batsman holds the world record for caps runs...
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Dec 28, 2012
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as a former governor, we don't operate with big deficits. you can't do that and we're in trouble in this country financially. the long term and in the short term, yes, we'll have a recession. it won't be a bad one but it will be one and nobody wants a recession. in the long term i think wall street goes crazy and you will see 15,000, 17,000 in the dow because finally somebody has done something serious about the deficit. i don't believe they will if they come to an agreement. >> you know, governor rendell, i want to know if you agree with governor dean. part of the message, one of the things that strikes me, the message for so long has been we can't go over the cliff, we can't go over the cliff. here are all the things that will happen to individual americans if we go over the cliff. there's a lot of anxiety out there. we've been hearing about that, we've seen the markets up and down. to some degree, i understand the political arguments but in terms of the argument of the stability of the country and our economy, do you agree with governor d
as a former governor, we don't operate with big deficits. you can't do that and we're in trouble in this country financially. the long term and in the short term, yes, we'll have a recession. it won't be a bad one but it will be one and nobody wants a recession. in the long term i think wall street goes crazy and you will see 15,000, 17,000 in the dow because finally somebody has done something serious about the deficit. i don't believe they will if they come to an agreement. >> you know,...